Volume XXVI, Issue 48 |

Healthcare and consumer macro-trends increasingly point to an interest in and need for alternative care delivery models

Healthcare is evolving, and consumers are driving the demand for innovative care delivery models. The U.S. faces a growing physician shortage, along with an aging, sicker population, making it harder to access primary and preventive care, especially for marginalized communities.

At the same time, consumers now expect their healthcare experiences to mirror the convenience and flexibility of retail settings — minimal wait times, easy access and personalized care. However, traditional healthcare providers often fall short in these dimensions, resulting in frustration and unmet needs.

The care delivery system is ripe for disruption, and on paper, retail health companies appear well positioned to meet these evolving consumer needs. Yet both online and brick-and-mortar retail giants are still trying to come up with strategies to fully meet these dynamic consumer expectations.

This edition of L.E.K. Consulting’s Executive Insights offers retail health companies a structured approach to considering opportunities to expand service offerings into care delivery. 

Many early attempts by retail companies have faltered

Several traditional retail health players have sought to expand their offerings in recent years in an effort to satisfy consumers’ needs (see Figure 1). 

Despite these big bets from industry leaders, the results have been mixed. Many retailers face higher-than-expected healthcare workforce costs and lower-than-expected cross-and up-sell opportunities across their existing retail footprint. Together with traditionally low primary care reimbursements, many early models of retail health have struggled, prompting some companies to exit and others to strategically pivot:

  • Dollar General ended its rural mobile clinic pilot with DocGo after 18 months
  • Walmart will exit its health clinics and virtual care business due to a lack of profitability
  • Rite Aid filed for bankruptcy, citing challenging pharmacy economics and stalled primary care delivery efforts
  • Walgreens is scaling back its VillageMD footprint after finding it was worth $5.8 billion less than expected and instead is partnering with local providers (e.g., Hartford HealthCare, ASU Be Well, Advocate Health Care) to operate in-store clinics
  • Amazon acquired One Medical, a subscription service for comprehensive primary care, but has since had to lay off workers and conduct a strategic reevaluation
  • Kroger partnered with Better Health Group to operate in-store clinics in nine states and is expanding to value-based senior primary care
  • Costco teamed up with Sesame to offer fully out-of-pocket discounted virtual and in-person primary and mental health care services, bypassing insurance entirely
  • CVS has shifted its focus from on-site clinics to Healthspire’s home health and care management model and is expanding its Oak Street Health senior care business

Based on these examples, we observe the following trends:

  • Service-market fit: Targeted, localized partnerships may be key to converting consumers into patients
  • Operational expertise: Running healthcare clinics requires distinct expertise, so partnering with healthcare operators may enhance operating efficiencies
  • Alternative revenue models: Bypassing traditional insurance through subscriptions or memberships could be one way to address reimbursement challenges

So, is there a role for retailers in healthcare? Our survey of 1,000 consumers suggests there is appetite

Our analysis of consumer survey data on respondent usage, preferences and interest in using nine tested healthcare services in retail clinics revealed the following insights:

  1. Growing acceptance of retail clinics (see Figure 2)
    1. Current use: 20% of respondents are tapping into retail clinics for at least one of nine survey-tested healthcare services today
    2. Future use: 50% of respondents are highly likely to explore or continue using these services in the future, indicating a strong potential for growth
  2. The convenience factor
    1. Value proposition: Consumers favor retail clinics for their convenience, including faster access to care and cost savings, so much that two-thirds of current users continue using retail clinics despite not preferring them (see Figure 3 and Figure 4 below)
    2. Most relevant health services: Patients especially value convenience as the primary value proposition for specialty/chronic care management, mental/behavioral health and women’s health 
  3. Alternative provider types
    1. Health services of interest: Respondents are most open to receiving lifestyle/wellness services, diagnostic testing, urgent care and vision care services in retail clinics, and these respondents are also most amenable to receiving care from alternative provider types like advanced practice providers, wellness coaches, lab technicians or optometrists
    2. How to convert users: Current users show a higher level of trust in their pharmacist than do nonusers, suggesting that building trust with care providers is key to expanding the retail clinic user base
  4. Enhancing the retail health experience
    1. Desired experience: Both current and potential users want a retail clinic experience that feels more like a doctor’s office (e.g., private exam room)
    2. Partnerships and integration: Current users prioritize partnerships with traditional providers (e.g., virtual care, urgent care or a local hospital), while potential users value private exam rooms and integration with their doctor’s electronic health records system (see Figure 4)

Our survey indicates that partnering with local and national healthcare providers can help retailers target diverse consumer groups, optimize cost-sharing and unlock significant cross-sell and up-sell opportunities.

To help companies better segment and think about their customer base, we created six patient archetypes based on behavioral and psychographic findings from our survey.

Respondents showed significant differences in their use of retail health services, attitudes toward current use and overall perceptions of retail health (see Figure 5):

  1. Traditionalists (20%-25% of survey population) avoid retail health services and are unlikely to use them in the future
  2. Pickers and choosers (25%-30%) don’t use retail health today but would be open to limited future use based on their overall opinion of retail health
  3. Begrudging convenience seekers (5%-10%) use retail health today for its convenience but are dissatisfied with their experience; they might expand usage to additional services if they find them to be more convenient
  4. The retail curious (25%-30%) don’t use retail health today but are highly open to future use, with a strongly positive opinion about retail health
  5. Selective adopters (3%-7%) are generally satisfied with their current retail health use, but their moderate overall opinions about retail health limit their willingness to try additional services
  6. Enthusiastic adopters (5%-10%) use and enjoy retail health services and are eager to expand their usage due to their positive experiences

These archetypes differ in their motivations, drivers for increased usage and service preferences. To effectively cater to these diverse groups, retailers must:

  • Understand local customer archetypes and provider dynamics
  • Tailor services and messaging to meet specific archetype needs
  • Activate key archetypes through targeted go-to-market (GTM) strategies

By aligning service offerings and GTM messaging with the unique demands of each archetype, retailers can better engage and expand their retail health customer base.

Recent experience shows that retail health companies should not take a broad approach to expanding their healthcare footprint. We developed our Retail Health Opportunity Identification Framework (see Figure 6) to help clients selectively capitalize on the market’s need for disruption.

  1. Understand your customers: Retail health companies are in a unique position to engage frequently and informally with their customers, which means they can analyze demographic, psychographic and behavioral data to understand which cohorts of customers are most likely to be willing patients. Identifying the archetypes of customers will help inform the services and value propositions that resonate most.
  2. Understand your market context: Prospective vendors need to understand the market context and other care settings available to their customers to inform the value-add potential of new retail-based services, as well as the cost of doing business in different markets.
  3. Define your service offering: When deciding which services to offer in the retail setting, consider the unmet needs and preferences of your specific population, including your organization’s “right to play” and brand equity.
  4. Determine the margin moment of truth: In addition to market data, financial analysis of the realistic near-term pro forma profit-and-loss outlook for individual
  5. Select your GTM approach: If there is an identified opportunity, the next step is to select a GTM approach, considering existing capabilities and identified gaps. Organizational preferences and the availability of external assets will determine build/buy/partner decisions.
  6. Develop evaluation criteria: Other retail companies’ experience shows that results take time. Developing and aligning on a set of evaluation criteria, leading indicators and business metrics are critical to measuring performance and progress toward stated organizational goals.

L.E.K. is poised to help clients evaluate their opportunities in the retail health space using bespoke customer surveys and access to market-specific volume and reimbursement data. For more information, please contact us.

L.E.K. Consulting is a registered trademark of L.E.K. Consulting LLC. All other products and brands mentioned in this document are properties of their respective owners. © 2024 L.E.K. Consulting LLC

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