Three disruptive forces — regulation, technology and private capital
The past decade has been a landmark period of change. Regulatory change — in particular, the Retail Distribution Review — shone a spotlight on inefficiencies in the market and suboptimal customer outcomes. As a result, the fragmented (and ageing) cottage industry of financial advisors and discretionary wealth managers has become more receptive to consolidation, triggering a wave of private capital to bankroll forward-thinking management teams. A significant amount of value was created through cost (and some revenue) synergies because of consolidation. Our industry survey indicates that the level of fragmentation can support at least another 10 years of consolidation activities. In fact, very few of the c.30 consolidators in the market have industrialised their mergers and acquisitions processes to the extent that they can take full advantage of the opportunity.
Technology has played an important role in moving the consolidation dialogue further by reducing the cost of intermediation and portfolio design. This has allowed vertically integrated wealth managers to emerge at much lower scales than has ever been possible. Operating investments through a combination of model portfolios, multi-asset funds and segregated portfolios, these businesses are premised on providing both a (less scalable) financial planning service and a (highly scalable) investment management service. Instead of mostly cost synergies, vertical integration has enabled revenue synergies of up to 100 basis points in consolidation events.
Multiple flavours of vertical integration have emerged, but they largely mirror the above strategy, with the exception of asset managers who have recently forward-integrated with technology providers to access and protect upstream markets and flows (see Figure 4).